South Carolina Democrats,taking a break from fantasizing about will Folks' allegedly sex life, are celebrating a poll which has Jim DeMint up 50-43% over his opponent, Vic Rawls. there are a ew problems with this.
One, the poll was conducted by SCindex, a blog which is run by two Democrat consulting firms in Columbia.
Two, its poll sample was 438 "likely" voters with no definition of what constitutesa likely voters or the partisan distribution of those polled.
Three, the margin of error is 4.6& That is a heck of margin. I guarantee DeMint is up by much more because of it. A twelve point lead over Rawls sounds far more likely than seven. twenty would not shock me, either. No one has ever heard of Rawls.
Four, who is Vic Rawls? He is a retired circuit court judge and state legislator who entered the race for two reasons: Chad McGowan, the only other Democrat to run, could not raise any money or garner much support and two, no one else wanted to inevitably lose to DeMint.
I assure you, this poll is garbage. If DeMint does not defeat Rawls by 15+ points in November, I will eat a fried earthworm.